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Utah Jazz Poised for NBA Draft Lottery Success with Four Games Left in the Season

  • Writer: Matthew Jensen
    Matthew Jensen
  • Apr 6
  • 3 min read

Utah Jazz Poised for NBA Draft Lottery Success with Four Games Left in the Season

As the 2024-2025 NBA regular season nears its end, the Utah Jazz find themselves in a unique and enviable position. With just four games remaining on their schedule as of April 6, 2025, the Jazz currently hold the number one spot in the NBA Draft Lottery odds. This critical standing sets the stage for the team’s next major event: the NBA Draft Lottery on May 12, 2025, which will determine their fate in the highly anticipated 2025 NBA Draft. For a franchise in the midst of a rebuild, this opportunity could prove transformative, potentially landing them a generational talent like Duke’s Cooper Flagg, the consensus top prospect in this year’s draft class.


The Road to the Top Spot

The Jazz’s journey to the top of the lottery standings has been a deliberate one. Entering the third year of a rebuild that began with the trades of Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert in 2022, Utah has prioritized youth development and draft positioning over immediate wins. This season, that strategy has paid off in spades. With a record that places them at the bottom of the league standings, the Jazz have secured the best odds—14%—at landing the number one overall pick. This is no small feat in a lottery system designed to discourage tanking, where the three worst teams share identical odds for the top selection, but only the very worst can guarantee no worse than the fifth pick.


Why the Lottery Matters

The NBA Draft Lottery is the pinnacle of the offseason for non-playoff teams, and for the Jazz, it represents a chance to accelerate their rebuild. Scheduled for May 12, 2025, the event will determine the order of the top four picks, with the remaining selections based on reverse regular-season standings. For Utah, finishing with one of the three worst records ensures a 14% chance at the top pick and a 52.1% chance at a top-four selection. More crucially, as the team with the worst record, they cannot fall below fifth, guaranteeing a high-impact player in a draft touted for its elite talent at the top.

This year’s draft class is headlined by Cooper Flagg, a 6-foot-9 forward whose versatility, defensive prowess, and relentless motor have drawn comparisons to players like Kevin Garnett. Flagg is widely seen as a can’t-miss prospect, the kind of player who could anchor the Jazz’s future alongside All-Star Lauri Markkanen and their stable of young talent, including Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, and Cody Williams. Beyond Flagg, the draft features other high-upside prospects like Rutgers’ Ace Bailey, Dylan Harper, and international standout VJ Edgecombe, ensuring that a top pick would yield a significant addition regardless of who’s available.


The Stakes Are High

For Jazz fans, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The team’s draft assets extend beyond their own pick, with unprotected first-round selections from the Minnesota Timberwolves and Cleveland Cavaliers incoming as well, courtesy of the Gobert and Mitchell trades. While the Cavaliers’ pick is likely to land near the end of the first round given their strong season, the Timberwolves’ struggles have raised hopes that their pick could sneak into lottery territory. However, it’s the Jazz’s own selection that holds the most promise—and pressure.


What’s Next?

With four games left, the Jazz control their own destiny. Losing out would cement their status as the league’s worst team, locking in the best possible lottery odds and minimizing the risk of falling in the draft order. Their immediate schedule includes formidable opponents, and the front office’s commitment to the youth movement—evidenced by increased minutes for rookies and the strategic sitting of veterans like Lauri Markkanen in key games—suggests they’re fully embracing this path.

The countdown to May 12 will be filled with anticipation for Jazz Nation. Will the ping-pong balls bounce their way, delivering the top pick and a chance at Cooper Flagg? Or will they settle for another high selection in a loaded draft? Either way, the NBA Draft Lottery looms as the next defining moment for the franchise, one that could shape the trajectory of the Utah Jazz for years to come. For now, all eyes are on these final games—and then, on those fateful lottery combinations.

 
 
 

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